Interactive Paradoxes

Hidden Structures in Chaos

Investigating statistical laws that govern seemingly random or chaotic datasets.

Benford's Law (The First-Digit Anomaly)

Benford's Law says that in many real-world datasets, numbers are much more likely to begin with smaller digits than larger ones. About 30% begin with 1, while fewer than 5% begin with 9 — not the roughly even 11.1% each digit would get if first digits were random. Choose a dataset below and watch how its first digits compare with Benford's prediction.

1 · First digits
Observed first-digit distribution 5,000 observations

Purple bars show the selected sample. Amber marks show Benford's predicted first-digit percentages.

Observed
Benford reference
30.1%
numbers beginning with 1
Benford predicts 30.1%
4.6%
numbers beginning with 9
Benford predicts 4.6%
6.5×
how much more often 1 appears than 9
Benford predicts 6.6×
2 · Additional details
What is happening behind the bars?
—
approximate numeric range
—
orders of magnitude spanned
Benford's first-digit regions on a logarithmic scale

The lesson: Benford's Law is not a rule that every dataset must obey. It works best for certain kinds of naturally occurring, wide-ranging or multiplicative data. Assigned numbers and tightly constrained values can behave very differently.

Further reading: Benford's Law on Wikipedia.